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Yields

Image
Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, Pesticide Spraying, Flickr, Creative Commons License 2.0.
Resource
Reducing pesticide use while preserving crop utility and profitability on arable farms
This Nature Plants paper by researchers from agroecological and agronomical research institutions in France used a statistical modelling approach to predict the effects of reducing pesticide use on the productivity and profitability of French arable farms.
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Photo: Chafer machineries, Flickr, creative commons licence 2.0
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Agriculture in 2050: Recalibrating Targets for Sustainable Intensification
A recent paper published in BioScience articulates the need for a new vision and new goals for the sustainable intensification of agriculture, moving away from the often cited statement that food production must double by 2050 to feed the world's growing population.
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High resolution mapping of GHG emissions and GHG intensity of global croplands
This paper examines high-resolution, crop-specific GHG emissions and GHG intensity estimates which are derived using a method that couples biophysical models with novel 5-arc-minute resolution data.
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Photo credit: DFID - UK Department for International Development, Women and men in northern Rwanda work on a public works site, building terraces to prevent soil erosion, Flickr, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0 Generic.
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Impact of historical land use and soil management change on soil erosion and agricultural sustainability during the Anthropocene
This article by agricultural researchers in Spain reviews the historical changes in land use and soil management practices, and examines how these changes have contributed to soil erosion in the past, before presenting modelling data to show how soil erosion may impact on agricultural yields in the future.
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Credit: Edward Musiak, Mountain range, Flickr, Creative Commons licence 2.0
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Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
This paper takes as its starting point the mainstream projections that in future, global food production will need to increase by another 60–110% by 2050, to keep up with anticipated increases in human population and changes in diet (it should be noted, however, that the need and feasibility of such increases is contested (see), with many arguing that dietary change and waste reduction can reduce the need for production increases (see)).
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Photo: Susanne Nilsson, Flickr, Creative Commons License 2.0
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FAO Report 2016: The State of Food and Agriculture
This report highlights the impacts of climate change on the agricultural sector and how, in the future, this is increasingly threatening food security for millions. The report states that meeting the goals of eradicating hunger and poverty by 2030, while addressing the threat of climate change, will require profound transformation of food and agriculture systems worldwide – which is of course a major challenge. 
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Image via Chistopher Jensen via Flickr CC BY-ND 2.0 DEED
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Even with the Paris Agreement implemented, food and water risks remain
The ‘2016 Food, Water, Energy and Climate Outlook’ by the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change finds that even if commitments from the  COP21 climate agreement are kept, many staple crops in various regions are still at risk of crop failures through extreme events, but at the same time, yields in many regions are projected to increase.
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Photo: Masahiro Ihara , Flickr, Creative Commons License 2.0
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The impact of high-end climate change on agricultural welfare
The agricultural sector is particularly vulnerable to climate change; a small increase of 1 degree Celsius can have significant negative impacts on crop yields, especially in the tropics. Global economic losses in production of three major crops (wheat, maize, and barley) attributed to climate change in the recent past are estimated at approximately US$5 billion per year.
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Photo: Flickr, Gene Alexander, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Creative Commons License 2.0
Resource
Drivers of changes in agricultural intensity in Europe
The need to make the best use of agricultural land in the face of growing future demand has made sustainable intensification an important area of food systems research. Previous research which focused on this topic, looked at the spatial distribution of the intensity of agricultural production and how this has changed, but according to the authors, did not provide sufficient insight into the drivers of intensification patterns, especially at subnational scales.
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