Structural changes in the food system such as replacing half of animal proteins with plant-based proteins could significantly marine eutrophication in the North-East Atlantic, according to a recent paper. The authors addressed the question of whether Western Europe can reduce nitrogen and phosphorus runoff to coastal areas without endangering food security.
Using a new model, the authors linked changes in human activity with effects on marine eutrophication. As well as modelling a pristine marine environment and the current situation, three options for reducing nutrient runoff were considered:
- Improving urban wastewater treatment
- Using good agricultural practices, such as preventing bare soils
- Structural changes in the food system, where half of current animal proteins are replaced with plant-based proteins (a so-called demitarian diet), livestock are fed on locally grown forage and feed crops instead of imported feed, and organic cropping systems are used.
Of these three scenarios, only the last (structural changes) resulted in significant improvements in water quality (mainly through decreases in nitrogen runoff), suggesting that significant food system changes are necessary to protect marine ecosystems. The structural changes scenario resulted in crop production decreases of 30% and 40% in France and Spain, respectively, but, according to the paper, maintains food security because of the change in diets.
Marine eutrophication in the North-East Atlantic (NEA) strongly relies on nutrient enrichment at the river outlets, which is linked to human activities and land use in the watersheds. The question is whether human society can reduce its nutrient emissions by changing land use without compromising food security. A new version of Riverstrahler model (pyNuts-Riverstrahler) was designed to estimate the point and diffuse nutrient emissions (N, P, Si) to the rivers depending on land use in the watersheds across a large domain (Western Europe agro-food systems, waste water treatment). The loads from the river model have been used as inputs to three marine ecological models (PCOMS, ECO-MARS3D, MIRO&CO) covering together a large part of the NEA from the Iberian shelf to the Southern North Sea. The modelling of the land-ocean continuum allowed quantifying the impact of changes in land use on marine eutrophication. Pristine conditions were tested to scale the current eutrophication with respect to a “natural background” (sensu WFD), i.e. forested watersheds without any anthropogenic impact. Three scenarios representing potential management options were also tested to propose future perspectives in mitigating eutrophication. This study shows that a significant decrease in nitrogen fluxes from land to sea is possible by adapting human activities in the watersheds, preventing part of the eutrophication symptoms in the NEA rivers and adjacent coastal zones. It is also shown that any significant achievement in that direction would very likely require paradigmatic changes at social, economic and agricultural levels. This requires reshaping the connections between crop production and livestock farming, and between agriculture and local human food consumption. It also involves cultural changes such as less waste production and a shift towards lower-impact and healthier diets where half of the animal products consumption is replaced by vegetal proteins consumption, known as a demitarian diet (http://www.nine-esf.org/node/281/index.html).
Desmit, X., Thieu, V., Billen, G., Campuzano, F., Dulière, V., Garnier, J., Lassaletta, L., Ménesguen, A., Neves, R., Pinto, L. and Silvestre, M., 2018. Reducing marine eutrophication may require a paradigmatic change. Science of The Total Environment, 635, pp.1444-1466.
Read the full paper here. See also the Foodsource resource How do food systems contribute to water pollution?