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Climate trends/projections

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Photo: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Flickr, Creative commons licence 2.0
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New data dashboard showing key indicators of our changing climate
A new resource has been created by the Carbon Brief, which brings together data from a number of indicators that show the effects of climate change, showing trends in our climate, atmosphere, oceans, and the cryosphere (ice) 
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Photo: harmishhk, "éolienne", Flickr, Creative Commons License 2.0 generic.
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The economic impact of climate change on European agriculture
This study presents estimates of how changes in climate might affect the value of European farmland. Based on data for over 41 000 farms, the results suggest that their economic value could drop by up to 32%, depending on the climate scenario considered. The models represent severe, moderate and mild outcomes, respectively.  Farms in southern Europe are particularly sensitive to climate change and could suffer value losses of up to 9% per 1 °C rise.
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FAO report: Strengthening sector policies for better food security and nutrition results
The purpose of this policy guidance note is to guide policy makers at country level to identify entry points for assessing and addressing food security and nutrition (FSN) in the face of climate change. It  includes background information on how climate change and variability affect the agriculture sectors and FSN and how the agriculture sectors and dietary patterns contribute to GHG emissions. 
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Photo: StormSignal, H2O + CO2 = LIFE, Flickr, Creative Commons License 2.0 generic.
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A roadmap for rapid decarbonization - New paper outlines ambitious and detailed action plan to stay below 2 degrees
This paper, published in the journal Science, aims to establish a detailed “roadmap” for meeting the Paris climate goal. It provides not only a scenario for the CO2 emissions reductions needed but places attention on the many different policy actions needed to stay below 2°C warming. One of three main focus areas is agriculture and land use related emissions.
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Photo: Erik Edgren, taro burger, Flickr, Creative Commons License 2.0 generic.
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How Do Dietary Choices Influence the Energy-System Cost of Stabilizing the Climate?
In this paper, using three scenarios for food demand, the researchers model and highlight the indirect relationship between greenhouse gas (GHG) emission abatement within the food supply system and the energy system, globally.
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Photo credit: Amy West, Flickr, Creative Commons License 2.0
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Modeling Sustainability: Population, Inequality, Consumption, and Bidirectional Coupling of the Earth and Human Systems.
This paper argues that the strength of the linkages between the ‘Human System’ and the Earth system warrants a new paradigm of modeling which incorporates key factors in one system as variables of a model of the other.
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Key messages, reports and videos from the 1.5 Degrees International Conference available online
The summary of key messages and full reports from the 1.5 Degrees conference which was held between 20-22 September 2016 in Oxford have now been published.
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Credit: Edward Musiak, Mountain range, Flickr, Creative Commons licence 2.0
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Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
This paper takes as its starting point the mainstream projections that in future, global food production will need to increase by another 60–110% by 2050, to keep up with anticipated increases in human population and changes in diet (it should be noted, however, that the need and feasibility of such increases is contested (see), with many arguing that dietary change and waste reduction can reduce the need for production increases (see)).
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Image via Chistopher Jensen via Flickr CC BY-ND 2.0 DEED
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Even with the Paris Agreement implemented, food and water risks remain
The ‘2016 Food, Water, Energy and Climate Outlook’ by the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change finds that even if commitments from the  COP21 climate agreement are kept, many staple crops in various regions are still at risk of crop failures through extreme events, but at the same time, yields in many regions are projected to increase.
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